":"失误","author.trackModal.disclaimer":"SpikePanel 独立程序化核验公开言论，作者无法篡改或删除 · 历史战绩不预示未来，非投资建议。","author.tickerModal.badge":"$${ticker} 专属战绩","author.tickerModal.credScore":"全站可信度 {score}","author.tickerModal.followers":"{count} 关注者","author.tickerModal.hitRate":"$${ticker} 方向性胜率","author.tickerModal.callsVerified":"已核验 {n} 单","author.tickerModal.noDirectionalCalls":"暂无方向性喊单","author.tickerModal.avgAlpha5d":"平均 5日超额收益","author.tickerModal.vsSpyBenchmark":"相对标普500基准","author.tickerModal.bestCallOn":"$${ticker} 最佳一单","author.tickerModal.short":"做空","author.tickerModal.long":"做多","author.tickerModal.highestReturn":"历史最优超额","author.tickerModal.directionalBias":"多空方向分布","author.tickerModal.biasLong":"{pct}% 做多","author.tickerModal.biasShort":"{pct}% 做空","author.tickerModal.biasEven":"{long}多 / {short}空","author.tickerModal.countLine":"{longCalls} 单做多 · {shortCalls} 单做空","author.tickerModal.noDirectionalBias":"未发布过方向性喊单","author.tickerModal.methodTitle":"核验计算方法：该胜率与超额收益是如何统计的？","author.tickerModal.methodHide":"收起说明","author.tickerModal.methodShow":"展开口径","author.tickerModal.method1":"1. 抽取源：基于大模型对 @{handle} 公开发布的推文中带有明确方向（做多 / 做空）的喊单进行提取，排查所有口嗨与事后诸葛亮。","author.tickerModal.method2":"2. 核验时点：以喊单次日美股开盘价建仓，持有固定 5 个交易日（5td），与同期美股标普 500 指数（SPY）收益率进行差值比对（Alpha = Return - SPY）。","author.tickerModal.method3":"3. 盈亏判定：相对超额收益 Alpha > 0% 判定为命中（✓），反之判定为跑输（✗）。所有亏损单如实收录，杜绝报喜不报忧。","author.tickerModal.callsTitle":"@{handle} 在 ${ticker} 上的公开喊单核验流水","author.tickerModal.callCount":"共 {n} 笔","author.tickerModal.loadingCalls":"正在加载实盘核验流水...","author.tickerModal.sideShort":"做空 SHORT","author.tickerModal.sideLong":"做多 LONG","author.tickerModal.hold5td":"持有 5 交易日","author.tickerModal.beatSpy":"跑赢标普","author.tickerModal.missedSpy":"跑输标普","author.tickerModal.viewCallOnX":"在 X 上查看喊单原推","author.tickerModal.originalText":"原文：{text}","author.tickerModal.takesIntro":"{ticker, select, other {}}暂无 5日量化喊单核验记录，但该作者近期发布过带明确多空方向的观点：","author.tickerModal.takeBull":"🟢 看多","author.tickerModal.takeBear":"🔴 看空","author.tickerModal.noCalls":"@{handle} 在 ${ticker} 上暂无可核验的方向性喊单（做多 / 做空）。","author.tickerModal.noiseFiltered":"系统已为您自动过滤无明确多空立场的日常闲聊与蹭热度推文。","author.tickerModal.viewFullTrack":"查看 @{handle} 全站总战绩卡 →","author.tickerModal.profileLink":"进入 @{handle} 个人主页 →","author.tickerModal.tickerPage":"查看 ${ticker} 标的页 →","author.posts.title":"推文动态","author.posts.clearTicker":"清除股票筛选，查看全部推文","author.posts.filteredCount":"筛选 ${ticker} · {count} 条","author.posts.windowCount":"近 {days} 天 / {count} 条","author.posts.all":"全部推文","author.posts.loadFailed":"原文加载失败","author.posts.emptyTicker":"暂无关于 ${ticker} 的相关推文","author.posts.emptyWindow":"该作者近 {days} 天暂无新推文","author.posts.highlighted":"🎯 关联观点原文","author.posts.dismiss":"清除高亮","author.cashtags.heatmapHint":"方块大小=提及数，颜色=当日涨跌 (绿涨 / 红跌) · 点击切换股票","author.cashtags.mentionTitle":"$${ticker} · {date} 提及","feed.preview.title":"最新持仓事件","feed.preview.titleTicker":"{sym} 相关事件",

@hedgefundtips · Thomas J. Hayes

@hedgefundtips · Thomas J. Hayes